September 2026 Market Update: San Tan Valley & Florence Arizona | Brian Butler

September 2026 Market Update

San Tan Valley & Florence • Real numbers from MLS data

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September 2026 San Tan Valley & Florence, Arizona • By Brian Butler, REALTOR®

San Tan Valley and Florence Sold Listings Down 7.22% and Active Listings Up 5.10% in September

Data period: September 2026 • Compared to: August 2026 • Source: ARMLS (via RapidStats)

Metric September 2026 vs. August
Sold Listings 270 -7.22%
New Listings 456 -8.65%
Active Listings 1,381 +5.10%
Under Contract 337 -1.46%
Avg. Days on Market 95 days Prior month n/a
Months of Supply ($250K–$500K) 4.48 August: 4.32
Sold-to-List Ratio ($250K–$500K) 99.2% August: 99.2%

Note: ARMLS figures for August 2026 were restated in this month's report. The month-over-month changes above are measured against the restated August figures, so they will not match the August 2026 update as originally published.

What the Numbers Say

San Tan Valley and Florence recorded 270 sold listings in September 2026, down 7.22% from August and down 23.30% from September 2025. New listings totaled 456, down 8.65% from August and up 15.85% from a year ago. Active listings were 1,381, up 5.10% from August and up 13.66% from a year ago. There were 337 listings under contract, down 1.46% from August. Average days on market was 95. In the $250K–$500K range, months of supply was 4.48 (4.32 in August, 2.83 in September 2025) and the sold-to-list ratio was 99.2%, the same as August.

Brian's Take

More homes are coming on the market here, and fewer are selling. Active listings in San Tan Valley and Florence are up 13.66% from a year ago and new listings are up 15.85%, while closed sales are down 23.30%. That matches what I'm seeing with my own clients.

In the $250K–$500K range, months of supply is 4.48. A year ago it was 2.83. That number has kept climbing as mortgage rates have moved up. Freddie Mac's weekly average went from 6.95% to 7.03% in the back half of September.

The slowdown is sharper here than across the valley. Closed sales are down 23.30% locally against 15.55% for Maricopa and Pinal counties combined, and active inventory grew 13.66% here against 4.90%. More homes listed, and it's taking longer to sell through them.

This update covers the combined San Tan Valley and Florence market.

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